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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 23 October 2021

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 22
  5. 26
  6. 32
  7. 17
  8. 38

JackpotA$6,212,627

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 669 of 931 under them

← 2021-10-16All recent draws2021-10-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 16 22 26 32 + 17 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd5th
  • low77th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

984times
1095times
16105times
2297times
26

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 53Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$19Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 47lines took a prize
  • 110 winnerschance said 6.5

Where the money went

  • 133%A$6.2M
  • 512%A$2.3M
  • 637%A$7.1M
  • 3 other tiers18%A$3.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 110≈ 6.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

94times
3293times

Every number was expected about that many times after 668 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 10, 16, 32) with the draw of 29 September 2012 — its closest relative in 668 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2021): 26 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$621,263
  • 31,393≈ 1.5k by chanceA$762
  • 465,138≈ 72k by chanceA$24.15
  • 285A$8,250
  • 5152,531A$15.20
  • 6908,332A$7.80
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈53M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 65,138 winners, 10% fewer than the 72k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    110A$621,263
    285A$8,250
    31,393A$762
    465,138A$24.15
    5152,531A$15.20
    6908,332A$7.80