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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 January 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 23
  4. 26
  5. 27
  6. 31
  7. 4
  8. 24

JackpotA$4,092,803

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 107 of 928 under them

← 2011-01-08All recent draws2011-01-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 23 26 27 31 + 4 2429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum38th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

1010times
1215times
2312times
2616times
27

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-15

  • Lines in play≈ 57Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$13.5Mto 241k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 237lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 7.0

Where the money went

  • 130%A$4.1M
  • 421%A$2.8M
  • 531%A$4.2M
  • 2 other tiers18%A$2.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 7.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

13times
3114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 106 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 23, 31) with the draw of 23 October 2010 — its closest relative in 106 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 January 2011): 23 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,046,402
  • 31,245≈ 1.6k by chanceA$1,291
  • 470,196≈ 78k by chanceA$39.65
  • 277A$11,050
  • 5169,552A$24.60
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈57M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,245 winners, 24% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,046,402
    277A$11,050
    31,245A$1,291
    470,196A$39.65
    5169,552A$24.60