Number 15

In Saturday Lotto under the 6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009 rules — 928 draws, 6 from 1–45.

125times drawn · chance expected 124 +0.12σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

33longest completed wait · 72% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 125 times in 928 draws against 123.7 expected, +0.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 53 times, counted separately.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 125 times in 928 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 33 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest17 · chance 16.4
2nd smallest33 · chance 44.2
3rd smallest52 · chance 42.5
4th smallest19 · chance 18.2
5th smallest4 · chance 3.5
6th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 8 18 11 12 42

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	10	2nd	2 15 16 33 41 43
2026-08-01	4	3rd	3 11 15 30 32 42
2026-07-04	1	3rd	4 8 15 32 43 44
2026-06-27	11	1st

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-09-09	19	5th	7 9 11 14 15 29
2023-04-29	6	2nd	4 15 16 18 35 45
2023-03-18	3	3rd	1 6 15 21 43 44
2023-02-25	12	4th	4 12 13 15 29 45
2022-12-03	16	5th	4 8 10 12 15 39
2022-08-13	1	2nd	1 15 20 29 35 38
2022-08-06	5	2nd	14 15 24 31 33 39
2022-07-02	5	2nd	10 15 17 31 37 42
2022-05-28	2	1st	15 17 19 28 32 33
2022-05-14	4	1st	15 20 25 27 35 39
2022-04-16	2	4th	11 12 14 15 23 37
2022-04-02	13	4th	1 4 6 15 21 27
2021-12-31	8	3rd	8 14 15 20 32 43
2021-11-06	7	2nd	11 15 28 30 33 39
2021-09-18	14	3rd	5 6 15 18 36 43
2021-06-12	4	3rd	5 13 15 28 37 45
2021-05-15	9	2nd	5 15 16 19 20 41
2021-03-13	6	1st	15 17 22 27 37 40
2021-01-30	11	3rd	3 6 15 20 30 31
2020-11-14	1	2nd	6 15 23 26 27 45
2020-11-07	19	5th	1 3 7 8 15 35
2020-06-27	4	1st	15 19 24 28 35 41
2020-05-30	5	2nd	3 15 19 22 25 44
2020-04-25	9	2nd	3 15 17 23 34 38
2020-02-22	25	3rd	8 11 15 16 23 29
2019-08-31	8	3rd	7 14 15 17 36 41
2019-07-06	16	1st	15 18 23 30 41 44
2019-03-16	8	4th	1 8 12 15 31 42
2019-01-19	1	4th	8 10 11 15 26 45
2019-01-12	12	3rd	5 11 15 23 35 45
2018-10-20	5	3rd	5 14 15 38 42 45
2018-09-15	3	4th	1 3 7 15 44 45
2018-08-25	2	2nd	5 15 18 29 31 35
2018-08-11	3	3rd	1 8 15 20 23 44
2018-07-21	16	4th	2 4 14 15 16 24
2018-03-31	5	2nd	8 15 23 27 43 44
2018-02-24	20	4th	1 5 14 15 19 30
2017-10-07	6	3rd	7 13 15 18 31 34
2017-08-26	13	2nd	11 15 20 27 38 45
2017-05-27	1	1st	15 17 18 24 42 45
2017-05-20	5	4th	6 10 11 15 29 33
2017-04-15	4	2nd	3 15 26 32 40 44
2017-03-18	1	3rd	1 10 15 23 36 43
2017-03-11	1	3rd	1 10 15 31 36 39
2017-03-04	18	3rd	9 12 15 18 28 34
2016-10-29	12	1st	15 20 23 33 39 42
2016-08-06	2	3rd	6 12 15 19 23 31
2016-07-23	33	4th	4 7 10 15 22 32
2015-12-05	6	1st	15 18 28 32 40 42
2015-10-24	2	2nd	1 15 18 29 37 40
2015-10-10	10	5th	1 5 7 8 15 39
2015-08-01	4	3rd	6 10 15 16 17 29
2015-07-04	1	2nd	8 15 25 30 31 44
2015-06-27	3	1st	15 17 29 30 32 39
2015-06-06	3	1st	15 29 31 32 33 39
2015-05-16	2	2nd	10 15 16 26 30 45
2015-05-02	13	2nd	6 15 18 23 35 43
2015-01-31	13	2nd	9 15 19 26 33 36
2014-11-01	11	2nd	9 15 21 24 30 42
2014-08-16	5	3rd	2 3 15 16 18 24
2014-07-12	20	3rd	1 3 15 19 42 44
2014-02-22	2	3rd	8 12 15 25 26 45
2014-02-08	12	2nd	6 15 17 21 22 42
2013-11-16	10	3rd	5 8 15 32 36 39
2013-09-07	1	4th	1 11 12 15 25 36
2013-08-31	1	1st	15 18 26 28 39 41
2013-08-24	10	2nd	12 15 16 37 42 45
2013-06-15	2	3rd	1 4 15 16 17 21
2013-06-01	1	2nd	12 15 30 37 40 44
2013-05-25	4	2nd	1 15 16 20 31 36
2013-04-27	15	2nd	8 15 18 33 40 43
2013-01-12	2	4th	2 6 11 15 31 34
2012-12-29	11	3rd	7 14 15 25 35 37
2012-10-13	5	4th	2 11 13 15 26 40
2012-09-08	3	4th	4 5 7 15 35 38
2012-08-18	6	3rd	10 11 15 30 34 36
2012-07-07	9	2nd	2 15 21 31 37 38
2012-05-05	2	4th	7 9 12 15 27 40
2012-04-21	25	3rd	1 2 15 16 21 28
2011-10-29	11	3rd	11 12 15 20 32 33
2011-08-13	5	3rd	8 13 15 22 33 34
2011-07-09	2	1st	15 32 34 36 41 45
2011-06-25	5	4th	10 11 12 15 22 28
2011-05-21	3	3rd	8 13 15 19 27 43
2011-04-30	13	3rd	1 7 15 33 35 40
2011-01-29	1	3rd	2 11 15 19 20 25
2011-01-22	8	2nd	3 15 17 21 34 43
2010-11-27	2	3rd	2 12 15 24 35 37
2010-11-13	1	2nd	14 15 26 27 35 41
2010-11-06	3	1st	15 24 25 28 30 39
2010-10-16	5	1st	15 19 28 36 39 41
2010-09-11	10	3rd	5 11 15 36 42 44
2010-07-03	7	4th	1 6 10 15 26 40
2010-05-15	5	4th	4 6 13 15 18 35
2010-04-10	3	1st	15 17 27 33 40 43
2010-03-20	7	3rd	10 12 15 26 29 40
2010-01-30	1	3rd	12 13 15 21 22 43
2010-01-23	31	3rd	8 13 15 18 29 38
2009-06-20	5	2nd	1 15 17 33 34 37
2009-05-16	15	3rd	3 14 15 19 25 44
2009-01-31	—	3rd	4 5 15 18 30 34