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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 7 September 2021

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 19
  5. 40
  6. 2

JackpotZAR 66,280,966

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 334 of 1,712 under them

← 2021-09-03All recent draws2021-09-10 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 9
    2. 13
    3. 36
    4. 43
    5. 49
    6. 10

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 13 19 4029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community2 11 13 19 40 + 228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

224times
1140times
1342times
1932times
4030times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 333 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 19, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 February 2020 — its closest relative in 333 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 September 2021): 2 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

85

The numbers add up to 85 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-07

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 5.0Mto 242k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 553.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 2.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 66,280,967
  2. Match 52≈ 1.9 by chanceZAR 230,441
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31≈ 23 by chanceZAR 9,310
  4. Match 4486≈ 431 by chanceZAR 1,007
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,185≈ 997 by chanceZAR 467
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,615≈ 14k by chanceZAR 22.20
  7. Match 321,902≈ 19k by chanceZAR 21.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,207≈ 75k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball123,086≈ 123k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,185 winners, 19% more than the 997 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball123,086ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball79,207ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,615ZAR 22.20
Match 321,902ZAR 21.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,185ZAR 467
Match 4486ZAR 1,007
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31ZAR 9,310
Match 52ZAR 230,441
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 66,280,967