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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 57,903,599
The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 643 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 642 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (22, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 June 2024 — its closest relative in 642 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 August 2024): 40 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 400 winners, 22% fewer than the 515 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 147,193 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 85,770 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 15,247 | ZAR 20.40 |
| Match 3 | 17,952 | ZAR 23.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 999 | ZAR 498 |
| Match 4 | 400 | ZAR 1,100 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 21 | ZAR 12,361 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 207,271 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 57,903,599 |