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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 22 October 2021

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 17
  4. 40
  5. 47
  6. 13

JackpotZAR 46,762,111

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 347 of 1,712 under them

← 2021-10-19All recent draws2021-10-26 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 1
    2. 8
    3. 11
    4. 27
    5. 29
    6. 3

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 17 40 4729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 8 17 40 47 + 1328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap83th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

347times
838times
1725times
4032times
4730times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

1319times

Every number was expected about that many times after 346 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 17, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 February 2021 — its closest relative in 346 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.7Mto 246k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 458.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.2M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball28%ZAR 1.3M
  • 5 other tiers36%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chanceZAR 46,762,112
  2. Match 52≈ 2.0 by chanceZAR 190,920
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 24 by chanceZAR 11,956
  4. Match 4381≈ 457 by chanceZAR 1,064
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,065≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 430
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,529≈ 15k by chanceZAR 18.50
  7. Match 317,349≈ 20k by chanceZAR 22.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,234≈ 80k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball130,612≈ 131k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,349 winners, 14% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball130,612ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,234ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,529ZAR 18.50
Match 317,349ZAR 22.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,065ZAR 430
Match 4381ZAR 1,064
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20ZAR 11,956
Match 52ZAR 190,920
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 46,762,112