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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 73,000,000
The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 848 of 1,711 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 847 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 26, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 July 2024 — its closest relative in 847 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 August 2026): 40 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,525 winners, 29% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Powerball | 0 | ZAR 73,000,000 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 193,051 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 18 | ZAR 10,725 |
| Match 4 | 191 | ZAR 2,000 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 603 | ZAR 500 |
| Match 3 | 8,525 | ZAR 100 |
| Match 2 + Powerball | 8,872 | ZAR 100 |
| Match 1 + Powerball | 47,231 | ZAR 20.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball | 78,143 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Totals | 143,585 | — |