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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 19 August 2022

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 23
  2. 36
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 3

JackpotZAR 45,830,309

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 433 of 1,712 under them

← 2022-08-16All recent draws2022-08-23 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 10
    2. 11
    3. 20
    4. 25
    5. 28
    6. 15

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed23 36 39 40 4329 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community23 36 39 40 43 + 328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum96th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 43 of each

2330times
3646times
3939times
4040times
4344times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

321times

Every number was expected about that many times after 432 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 36, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 October 2021 — its closest relative in 432 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2022): 40 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

181

The numbers add up to 181 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.3Mto 211k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 456.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 975.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers39%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 45,830,309
  2. Match 53≈ 1.8 by chanceZAR 126,659
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 21 by chanceZAR 19,829
  4. Match 4337≈ 407 by chanceZAR 1,197
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball818≈ 943 by chanceZAR 558
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,930≈ 14k by chanceZAR 24.00
  7. Match 316,295≈ 18k by chanceZAR 23.40
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,033≈ 71k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball116,374≈ 116k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 818 winners, 13% fewer than the 943 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball116,374ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,033ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,930ZAR 24.00
Match 316,295ZAR 23.40
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball818ZAR 558
Match 4337ZAR 1,197
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12ZAR 19,829
Match 53ZAR 126,659
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 45,830,309