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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 13 December 2024

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 28
  3. 39
  4. 40
  5. 49
  6. 14

JackpotZAR 23,908,484

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 675 of 1,712 under them

← 2024-12-10All recent draws2024-12-17 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 7
    2. 22
    3. 26
    4. 36
    5. 44
    6. 12

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 28 39 40 4929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 28 39 40 49 + 1428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd66th
  • low10th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

386times
2864times
3964times
4063times
4983times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

1429times

Every number was expected about that many times after 674 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 40, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 June 2024 — its closest relative in 674 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 December 2024): 39 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

159

The numbers add up to 159 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-13

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.1Mto 204k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14%ZAR 583.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball24%ZAR 986.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.1M
  • 4 other tiers35%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 23,908,484
  2. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 20 by chanceZAR 58,307
  3. Match 4303≈ 388 by chanceZAR 1,256
  4. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball728≈ 900 by chanceZAR 591
  5. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,729≈ 13k by chanceZAR 23.00
  6. Match 314,645≈ 17k by chanceZAR 24.50
  7. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,784≈ 68k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball111,027≈ 111k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 728 winners, 19% fewer than the 900 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball111,027ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,784ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,729ZAR 23.00
Match 314,645ZAR 24.50
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball728ZAR 591
Match 4303ZAR 1,256
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10ZAR 58,307
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 23,908,484