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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 44,595,203
The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 386 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 385 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 14, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 August 2019 — its closest relative in 385 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 March 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 126 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,059 winners, 9% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 143,076 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 86,763 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 16,369 | ZAR 22.20 |
| Match 3 | 20,951 | ZAR 23.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,059 | ZAR 547 |
| Match 4 | 480 | ZAR 1,067 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 17 | ZAR 46,135 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 44,595,203 |