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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 28 July 2020

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 38
  5. 40
  6. 8

JackpotZAR 13,229,291

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 219 of 1,712 under them

← 2020-07-24All recent draws2020-07-31 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 9
    2. 12
    3. 13
    4. 45
    5. 48
    6. 2

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 28 30 38 4029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 28 30 38 40 + 828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 July 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

328times
2818times
3015times
3824times
4021times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

813times

Every number was expected about that many times after 218 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 30, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 January 2020 — its closest relative in 218 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 July 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-07-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.9Mto 201k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 393.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 986.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball28%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers37%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 13,229,291
  2. Match 51≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 327,891
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17≈ 20 by chanceZAR 12,078
  4. Match 4307≈ 380 by chanceZAR 1,134
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball756≈ 880 by chanceZAR 521
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,977≈ 13k by chanceZAR 20.60
  7. Match 313,959≈ 17k by chanceZAR 23.60
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,782≈ 66k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball108,560≈ 109k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,959 winners, 16% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball108,560ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball65,782ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,977ZAR 20.60
Match 313,959ZAR 23.60
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball756ZAR 521
Match 4307ZAR 1,134
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17ZAR 12,078
Match 51ZAR 327,891
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 13,229,291