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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 86,547,728
The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 337 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 336 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 10, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 August 2020 — its closest relative in 336 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 September 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 100 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 19,892 winners, 8% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 158,226 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 100,123 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 19,892 | ZAR 19.90 |
| Match 3 | 26,344 | ZAR 20.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,380 | ZAR 460 |
| Match 4 | 553 | ZAR 1,016 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 24 | ZAR 35,845 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | ZAR 86,547,728 |