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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 25 February 2020

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 17
  4. 26
  5. 31
  6. 11

JackpotZAR 29,378,132

The crowdHeld 2% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 175 of 1,712 under them

← 2020-02-21All recent draws2020-02-28 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 1
    2. 16
    3. 38
    4. 47
    5. 48
    6. 4

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 17 26 3129 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community4 10 17 26 31 + 1128 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread21th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

418times
1017times
1710times
2611times
3121times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

118times

Every number was expected about that many times after 174 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 17, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 September 2018 — its closest relative in 174 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 57% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 February 2020): 4 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

88

The numbers add up to 88 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.3Mto 226k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball10%ZAR 421.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball27%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers36%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 29,378,132
  2. Match 51≈ 1.8 by chanceZAR 350,820
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 22 by chanceZAR 12,205
  4. Match 4434≈ 409 by chanceZAR 858
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,008≈ 948 by chanceZAR 418
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,730≈ 14k by chanceZAR 17.90
  7. Match 318,385≈ 18k by chanceZAR 19.10
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball74,721≈ 71k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball116,936≈ 117k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 14,730 winners, 8% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball116,936ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball74,721ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,730ZAR 17.90
Match 318,385ZAR 19.10
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,008ZAR 418
Match 4434ZAR 858
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18ZAR 12,205
Match 51ZAR 350,820
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 29,378,132