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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 12 August 2025

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 20
  4. 41
  5. 48
  6. 4

JackpotZAR 10,474,599

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 744 of 1,712 under them

← 2025-08-08All recent draws2025-08-15 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 1
    2. 2
    3. 16
    4. 25
    5. 34
    6. 6

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 20 41 4829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community8 10 20 41 48 + 428 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 August 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd10th
  • low66th
  • widest gap75th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 74 of each

875times
1073times
2087times
4178times
4880times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

440times

Every number was expected about that many times after 743 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 41, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 December 2024 — its closest relative in 743 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2025): 41, 48 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

127

The numbers add up to 127 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2025-08-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.9Mto 188k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 19lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 417.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 908.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%ZAR 1.0M
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.08 by chanceZAR 10,474,599
  2. Match 52≈ 1.6 by chanceZAR 173,964
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 19 by chanceZAR 18,156
  4. Match 4359≈ 352 by chanceZAR 1,029
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball742≈ 815 by chanceZAR 563
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,408≈ 12k by chanceZAR 23.00
  7. Match 314,746≈ 15k by chanceZAR 23.50
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,591≈ 61k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball100,611≈ 101k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 742 winners, 9% fewer than the 815 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball100,611ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,591ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,408ZAR 23.00
Match 314,746ZAR 23.50
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball742ZAR 563
Match 4359ZAR 1,029
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12ZAR 18,156
Match 52ZAR 173,964
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 10,474,599