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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 106,905,907
The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 235 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 234 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 10, 31, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 August 2019 — its closest relative in 234 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 2.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 113 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 46 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 20,509 winners, 19% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 164,010 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 101,814 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 18,193 | ZAR 18.80 |
| Match 3 | 20,509 | ZAR 22.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,290 | ZAR 425 |
| Match 4 | 506 | ZAR 957 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 17 | ZAR 16,804 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 228,093 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 106,905,907 |