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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 24 December 2021

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 29
  5. 41
  6. 16

JackpotZAR 50,405,663

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 365 of 1,712 under them

← 2021-12-21All recent draws2021-12-28 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 16
    2. 20
    3. 25
    4. 39
    5. 49
    6. 6

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 11 29 4129 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community6 10 11 29 41 + 1628 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum17th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap59th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread50th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each

639times
1033times
1143times
2946times
4144times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

1614times

Every number was expected about that many times after 364 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 10, 11) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 August 2021 — its closest relative in 364 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.7Mto 229k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 518.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball23%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.2M
  • 5 other tiers41%ZAR 1.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chanceZAR 50,405,663
  2. Match 53≈ 1.8 by chanceZAR 144,053
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26≈ 22 by chanceZAR 10,409
  4. Match 4460≈ 415 by chanceZAR 997
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball946≈ 961 by chanceZAR 548
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,284≈ 14k by chanceZAR 22.70
  7. Match 320,910≈ 18k by chanceZAR 20.70
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,530≈ 72k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball118,573≈ 119k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 20,910 winners, 15% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball118,573ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,530ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,284ZAR 22.70
Match 320,910ZAR 20.70
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball946ZAR 548
Match 4460ZAR 997
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26ZAR 10,409
Match 53ZAR 144,053
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 50,405,663