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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 6,433,386
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 238 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 237 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 41, 50) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 October 2019 — its closest relative in 237 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 132 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 455 winners, 13% fewer than the 523 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 149,385 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 88,380 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 16,375 | ZAR 21.70 |
| Match 3 | 21,337 | ZAR 22.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,077 | ZAR 526 |
| Match 4 | 455 | ZAR 1,102 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 22 | ZAR 13,437 |
| Match 5 | 2 | ZAR 236,033 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 6,433,386 |