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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 10,873,181
The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 300 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 299 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 10, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 February 2020 — its closest relative in 299 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 May 2021): 4 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,312 winners, 8% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 104,415 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 67,688 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 12,718 | ZAR 21.10 |
| Match 3 | 17,312 | ZAR 20.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 870 | ZAR 493 |
| Match 4 | 428 | ZAR 886 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 23 | ZAR 25,241 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 10,873,181 |