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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 12 November 2019

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 10
  4. 11
  5. 25
  6. 10

JackpotZAR 82,998,648

The crowdHeld 60% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 145 of 1,712 under them

← 2019-11-08All recent draws2019-11-15 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 3
    2. 25
    3. 36
    4. 42
    5. 44
    6. 15

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 10 11 2529 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 5 10 11 25 + 1028 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 November 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

25oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd90th
  • low99th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 14 of each

324times
516times
1014times
1114times
2514times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

104times

Every number was expected about that many times after 144 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 10, 11) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 August 2019 — its closest relative in 144 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 November 2019): 5 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

54

The numbers add up to 54 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2019-11-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.3Mto 220k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 17lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball11%ZAR 460.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%ZAR 1.1M
  • 5 other tiers40%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 82,998,649
  2. Match 53≈ 1.6 by chanceZAR 127,949
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51≈ 19 by chanceZAR 4,713
  4. Match 4728≈ 369 by chanceZAR 560
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,451≈ 855 by chanceZAR 318
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,209≈ 12k by chanceZAR 17.80
  7. Match 325,904≈ 16k by chanceZAR 14.80
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball70,484≈ 64k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball105,486≈ 105k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,451 winners, 70% more than the 855 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball105,486ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball70,484ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,209ZAR 17.80
Match 325,904ZAR 14.80
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,451ZAR 318
Match 4728ZAR 560
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51ZAR 4,713
Match 53ZAR 127,949
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 82,998,649