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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 27,875,790
The crowdHeld 38% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 286 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 285 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 9, 10) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 February 2019 — its closest relative in 285 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 March 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 78 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,555 winners, 38% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 73,146 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 48,072 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 9,529 | ZAR 22.10 |
| Match 3 | 15,555 | ZAR 18.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 736 | ZAR 456 |
| Match 4 | 305 | ZAR 974 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 13 | ZAR 34,998 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 27,875,790 |