Number 40

In Montana Cash under the 5/45 · since May 2014 rules — 1,296 draws, 5 from 1–45.

141times drawn · chance expected 144 −0.27σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 62% for any number

9.2average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

52longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 141 times in 1,296 draws against 144.0 expected, −0.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 141 times in 1,296 draws · average wait 9.2 draws · longest completed wait 52 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.4
3rd smallest4 · chance 7.7
4th smallest48 · chance 47.5
5th smallest89 · chance 85.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 27 1 21 5 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-23	2	5th	3 15 21 27 40
2026-09-16	8	4th	16 19 31 40 44
2026-08-19	10	4th	3 27 35 40 41
2026-07-15	6	4th	18 19 25

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-03-19	1	4th	9 11 13 40 41
2025-03-15	16	5th	4 6 25 32 40
2025-01-18	3	5th	6 7 29 35 40
2025-01-08	2	5th	5 26 32 38 40
2025-01-01	22	5th	3 8 24 27 40
2024-10-16	5	4th	4 20 21 40 42
2024-09-28	1	5th	24 27 29 31 40
2024-09-25	6	5th	3 18 20 24 40
2024-09-04	1	5th	1 15 20 39 40
2024-08-31	10	4th	23 34 38 40 44
2024-07-27	10	4th	1 5 27 40 45
2024-06-22	7	5th	4 13 21 33 40
2024-05-29	6	4th	3 6 23 40 41
2024-05-08	6	4th	1 16 33 40 41
2024-04-17	1	5th	14 24 28 38 40
2024-04-13	7	5th	9 16 25 28 40
2024-03-20	14	5th	1 15 18 29 40
2024-01-31	2	4th	2 3 25 40 43
2024-01-24	7	4th	8 18 22 40 44
2023-12-30	18	4th	5 15 19 40 42
2023-10-28	3	4th	4 12 25 40 41
2023-10-18	52	5th	1 2 20 26 40
2023-04-19	5	5th	9 19 21 30 40
2023-04-01	19	4th	8 12 31 40 41
2023-01-25	14	4th	5 32 37 40 45
2022-12-07	9	5th	3 6 34 39 40
2022-11-05	10	4th	14 26 30 40 41
2022-10-01	6	4th	8 27 35 40 44
2022-09-10	28	3rd	32 36 40 43 45
2022-06-04	1	5th	2 8 24 35 40
2022-06-01	4	4th	1 3 13 40 44
2022-05-18	16	5th	9 17 22 37 40
2022-03-23	4	4th	6 27 36 40 41
2022-03-09	9	5th	5 6 12 15 40
2022-02-05	4	5th	3 19 24 28 40
2022-01-22	21	5th	9 34 38 39 40
2021-11-10	12	3rd	1 18 40 43 44
2021-09-29	34	5th	15 21 35 38 40
2021-06-02	4	4th	5 6 12 40 44
2021-05-19	2	5th	13 17 32 37 40
2021-05-12	39	5th	6 22 24 30 40
2020-12-26	37	4th	12 34 35 40 44
2020-08-19	4	5th	1 9 27 35 40
2020-08-05	18	4th	13 22 32 40 42
2020-06-03	6	5th	3 10 22 34 40
2020-05-13	22	5th	8 10 27 30 40
2020-02-26	2	4th	9 15 26 40 44
2020-02-19	2	4th	3 21 24 40 42
2020-02-12	4	5th	5 15 19 36 40
2020-01-29	1	5th	3 10 21 29 40
2020-01-25	17	5th	1 13 22 36 40
2019-11-27	4	5th	7 14 19 20 40
2019-11-13	6	5th	5 23 32 36 40
2019-10-23	1	4th	16 19 37 40 43
2019-10-19	25	4th	11 15 39 40 44
2019-07-24	3	5th	7 11 14 21 40
2019-07-13	7	5th	4 5 17 22 40
2019-06-19	12	5th	8 11 12 20 40
2019-05-08	1	5th	24 25 28 29 40
2019-05-04	9	4th	5 15 20 40 42
2019-04-03	1	4th	14 35 39 40 44
2019-03-30	18	5th	5 11 27 33 40
2019-01-26	7	5th	22 27 31 39 40
2019-01-02	2	4th	24 26 31 40 43
2018-12-26	14	5th	3 12 15 17 40
2018-11-07	9	4th	2 25 28 40 43
2018-10-06	13	4th	20 23 27 40 43
2018-08-22	7	5th	1 2 21 34 40
2018-07-28	4	5th	16 17 36 37 40
2018-07-14	7	5th	1 13 24 39 40
2018-06-20	12	5th	12 18 36 39 40
2018-05-09	9	4th	7 33 35 40 41
2018-04-07	1	4th	10 17 19 40 43
2018-04-04	17	5th	7 15 34 37 40
2018-02-03	2	5th	4 8 26 31 40
2018-01-27	17	5th	11 12 15 35 40
2017-11-29	6	5th	5 18 27 33 40
2017-11-08	13	3rd	27 30 40 43 45
2017-09-23	25	4th	9 13 35 40 43
2017-06-28	1	5th	19 27 30 34 40
2017-06-24	1	5th	2 6 29 32 40
2017-06-21	11	5th	1 11 16 21 40
2017-05-13	5	5th	7 9 18 30 40
2017-04-26	10	5th	7 8 9 21 40
2017-03-22	7	4th	8 18 26 40 41
2017-02-25	1	5th	4 27 30 39 40
2017-02-22	21	4th	15 34 37 40 42
2016-12-10	7	5th	17 20 34 39 40
2016-11-16	5	5th	5 16 23 33 40
2016-10-29	1	5th	5 32 34 38 40
2016-10-26	3	5th	3 15 28 38 40
2016-10-15	6	5th	6 19 28 33 40
2016-09-24	12	5th	2 3 10 23 40
2016-08-13	13	5th	2 4 20 39 40
2016-06-29	1	5th	8 10 12 23 40
2016-06-25	6	5th	1 6 11 19 40
2016-06-04	2	5th	12 21 26 31 40
2016-05-28	5	5th	12 18 20 21 40
2016-05-11	27	5th	21 29 30 35 40
2016-02-06	7	4th	2 17 39 40 43
2016-01-13	2	4th	15 17 20 40 45
2016-01-06	5	5th	14 25 31 36 40
2015-12-19	6	5th	2 7 30 37 40
2015-11-28	6	5th	8 13 34 37 40
2015-11-07	21	5th	8 9 13 37 40
2015-08-26	2	4th	4 5 10 40 42
2015-08-19	4	5th	2 6 12 17 40
2015-08-05	31	5th	2 14 31 35 40
2015-04-18	3	5th	18 32 35 37 40
2015-04-08	13	5th	13 18 29 36 40
2015-02-21	10	5th	16 25 27 39 40
2015-01-17	8	5th	1 20 26 39 40
2014-12-20	16	5th	1 4 21 23 40
2014-10-25	12	5th	1 3 8 17 40
2014-09-13	3	5th	1 16 28 38 40
2014-09-03	23	5th	7 10 19 34 40
2014-06-14	—	5th	4 23 27 31 40