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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · MT · ball game
Latest drawSaturday, 10 October 2026
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 11 Oct 2026, 04:17 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–45. 1,724 draws held here since 2010-04-07 — 1,296 under the current rules.
Montana Cash changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 1,296 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Montana Cash come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Montana Cash already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,296 draws every number is expected about 144 times, and a ball favoured by more than 32% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 9 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 27 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 115, give or take 28. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

38.7% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

990 possible pairs, each expected together 13.1 times so far — and about 10 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 45 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

46% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 49.7% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 7.7 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 38 draws for every one of the 45 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

1,221,759 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,296 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 8, the highest near 38. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/45 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 4% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/45 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,295 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 13, 31, 36) with the draw of 29 March 2023 — its closest relative in 1,295 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 86 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →The side bet sold beside the ticket. How many people buy it is not published; the prize table gives it away, because a multiplied outcome is reported twice — once for the tickets that paid the extra, once for those that did not.
7 draws, 2024-10-12 to 2026-08-12 · read at m5
This add-on changes the odds rather than the prize, so it has no multiplier to price. Take-up only.
210 draws could not answer: the feed reports a bare zero where it holds no count.
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 11 Oct 2026, 04:17 UTC.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,295 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | 0 | 1.2 |
| 7–13 | 1 | 1.0 |
| 14–20 | 1 | 0.8 |
| 21–27 | 1 | 0.6 |
| 28–34 | 1 | 0.5 |
| 35–41 | 0 | 0.4 |
| 42–48 | 0 | 0.3 |
| 49–55 | 2 | 0.3 |
| 56–62 | 0 | 0.2 |
| 63–69 | 0 | 0.2 |
| 70+ | 0 | 0.6 |
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,294 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 12, 24) with the draw of 9 August 2025 — its closest relative in 1,294 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): 12 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 77 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 3.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,293 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 34, 41) with the draw of 10 June 2026 — its closest relative in 1,293 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 114 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 144 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,292 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 26, 36) with the draw of 27 August 2025 — its closest relative in 1,292 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 September 2026): 26 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,291 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 20, 26) with the draw of 17 August 2024 — its closest relative in 1,291 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 105 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,290 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 27, 40) with the draw of 19 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,290 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 106 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,289 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 14, 28, 35) with the draw of 7 March 2020 — its closest relative in 1,289 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,288 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (16, 19, 31, 44) with the draw of 25 August 2021 — its closest relative in 1,288 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 150 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,287 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 30, 38) with the draw of 15 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,287 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 September 2026): 38 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,286 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 15, 38) with the draw of 22 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,286 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 September 2026): 35, 36 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,285 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 33, 44) with the draw of 10 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,285 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 167 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 35–36. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 143 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,284 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 18, 27) with the draw of 6 July 2022 — its closest relative in 1,284 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 122 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →