Number 16

In Montana Cash under the 5/45 · since May 2014 rules — 1,296 draws, 5 from 1–45.

129times drawn · chance expected 144 −1.33σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 49% for any number

10.0average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

64longest completed wait · 7% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 129 times in 1,296 draws against 144.0 expected, −1.33σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 129 times in 1,296 draws · average wait 10.0 draws · longest completed wait 64 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest19 · chance 22.6
2nd smallest50 · chance 52.1
3rd smallest40 · chance 40.5
4th smallest16 · chance 12.5
5th smallest4 · chance 1.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 30 13 6 22 23

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-16	7	1st	16 19 31 40 44
2026-08-22	13	3rd	7 15 16 29 38
2026-07-08	12	2nd	8 16 17 22 27
2026-05-27	16	2nd	12 16 20

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-08-28	4	3rd	4 9 16 27 38
2024-08-14	12	2nd	7 16 22 24 29
2024-07-03	16	4th	3 4 5 16 39
2024-05-08	7	2nd	1 16 33 40 41
2024-04-13	11	2nd	9 16 25 28 40
2024-03-06	6	3rd	7 14 16 22 30
2024-02-14	1	3rd	5 13 16 20 43
2024-02-10	2	3rd	9 12 16 22 31
2024-02-03	14	1st	16 22 23 35 44
2023-12-16	18	2nd	3 16 17 37 42
2023-10-14	14	4th	2 7 15 16 24
2023-08-26	5	3rd	6 8 16 22 31
2023-08-09	4	4th	2 5 12 16 43
2023-07-26	3	1st	16 28 30 31 39
2023-07-15	1	3rd	6 13 16 20 35
2023-07-12	4	1st	16 17 30 44 45
2023-06-28	12	3rd	10 15 16 30 33
2023-05-17	6	1st	16 22 26 27 35
2023-04-26	1	5th	9 10 12 14 16
2023-04-22	12	3rd	7 14 16 29 31
2023-03-11	33	4th	2 6 10 16 45
2022-11-16	4	2nd	7 16 17 19 33
2022-11-02	8	3rd	6 14 16 19 30
2022-10-05	19	2nd	1 16 19 24 25
2022-07-30	2	2nd	14 16 32 33 37
2022-07-23	42	2nd	10 16 25 29 33
2022-02-26	2	3rd	9 15 16 17 20
2022-02-19	10	2nd	13 16 21 39 45
2022-01-15	2	2nd	4 16 23 33 41
2022-01-08	2	2nd	4 16 36 38 39
2022-01-01	20	1st	16 18 29 37 44
2021-10-23	3	3rd	2 10 16 21 35
2021-10-13	2	4th	8 10 11 16 41
2021-10-06	4	3rd	5 6 16 19 26
2021-09-22	8	2nd	7 16 20 27 43
2021-08-25	12	2nd	1 16 19 31 44
2021-07-14	13	3rd	5 8 16 17 35
2021-05-29	23	2nd	1 16 37 42 45
2021-03-10	1	3rd	11 13 16 23 35
2021-03-06	12	2nd	6 16 21 23 37
2021-01-23	20	1st	16 25 34 38 45
2020-11-14	64	2nd	9 16 19 24 33
2020-04-04	4	3rd	4 6 16 23 28
2020-03-21	10	3rd	5 9 16 34 36
2020-02-15	3	3rd	6 13 16 21 44
2020-02-05	6	2nd	5 16 28 38 44
2020-01-15	24	2nd	5 16 33 34 44
2019-10-23	6	1st	16 19 37 40 43
2019-10-02	27	2nd	8 16 30 43 44
2019-06-29	8	2nd	13 16 19 39 45
2019-06-01	2	3rd	1 5 16 21 24
2019-05-25	3	3rd	7 12 16 22 35
2019-05-15	5	4th	4 11 13 16 34
2019-04-27	37	3rd	10 11 16 25 42
2018-12-19	20	3rd	6 15 16 33 38
2018-10-10	7	4th	2 3 10 16 24
2018-09-15	12	4th	6 13 14 16 30
2018-08-04	2	2nd	15 16 29 41 44
2018-07-28	3	1st	16 17 36 37 40
2018-07-18	2	2nd	11 16 23 37 45
2018-07-11	5	2nd	15 16 24 33 34
2018-06-23	16	1st	16 23 24 27 42
2018-04-28	33	2nd	6 16 21 24 34
2018-01-03	20	4th	5 8 14 16 32
2017-10-25	7	4th	2 3 6 16 21
2017-09-30	8	4th	12 13 15 16 25
2017-09-02	3	3rd	3 8 16 28 31
2017-08-23	1	3rd	8 13 16 22 35
2017-08-19	3	3rd	1 2 16 27 43
2017-08-09	3	1st	16 22 23 28 37
2017-07-29	2	3rd	10 12 16 21 44
2017-07-22	9	4th	8 12 14 16 19
2017-06-21	19	3rd	1 11 16 21 40
2017-04-15	18	2nd	5 16 20 24 33
2017-02-11	8	3rd	2 4 16 32 36
2017-01-14	1	3rd	13 15 16 20 42
2017-01-11	16	2nd	11 16 23 34 37
2016-11-16	4	2nd	5 16 23 33 40
2016-11-02	22	1st	16 18 19 29 41
2016-08-17	3	2nd	5 16 23 25 30
2016-08-06	22	2nd	14 16 26 27 37
2016-05-21	1	2nd	12 16 24 33 42
2016-05-18	18	2nd	12 16 20 37 45
2016-03-16	1	2nd	7 16 17 22 26
2016-03-12	4	1st	16 23 29 31 33
2016-02-27	2	3rd	12 14 16 19 31
2016-02-20	2	2nd	15 16 27 33 38
2016-02-13	24	3rd	3 13 16 25 44
2015-11-21	7	2nd	10 16 20 21 43
2015-10-28	12	2nd	9 16 22 23 25
2015-09-16	21	2nd	5 16 21 31 39
2015-07-04	14	3rd	14 15 16 20 29
2015-05-16	19	1st	16 21 25 30 45
2015-03-11	5	5th	8 9 13 15 16
2015-02-21	12	1st	16 25 27 39 40
2015-01-10	2	1st	16 18 29 30 45
2015-01-03	12	2nd	12 16 25 34 39
2014-11-22	1	2nd	6 16 27 30 38
2014-11-19	1	2nd	5 16 31 39 44
2014-11-15	11	2nd	5 16 19 22 45
2014-10-08	7	3rd	1 12 16 23 26
2014-09-13	2	2nd	1 16 28 38 40
2014-09-06	11	3rd	3 4 16 29 43
2014-07-30	19	3rd	4 12 16 22 32
2014-05-24	—	4th	2 4 6 16 22