Number 5

In Montana Cash under the 5/45 · since May 2014 rules — 1,296 draws, 5 from 1–45.

149times drawn · chance expected 144 +0.44σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

40longest completed wait · 78% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 149 times in 1,296 draws against 144.0 expected, +0.44σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 149 times in 1,296 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 40 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest106 · chance 100.3
2nd smallest39 · chance 43.4
3rd smallest4 · chance 5.1
4th smallest0 · chance 0.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

39 6 22 8 16 35

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	12	2nd	1 5 13 31 36
2026-08-29	18	1st	5 39 43 44 45
2026-06-27	2	1st	5 9 10 15 35
2026-06-20	28	1st	5 22 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-10-26	26	1st	5 13 17 19 26
2024-07-27	7	2nd	1 5 27 40 45
2024-07-03	26	3rd	3 4 5 16 39
2024-04-03	14	1st	5 18 20 22 39
2024-02-14	9	1st	5 13 16 20 43
2024-01-13	4	1st	5 8 15 35 36
2023-12-30	15	1st	5 15 19 40 42
2023-11-08	4	1st	5 17 19 24 25
2023-10-25	7	2nd	1 5 6 26 29
2023-09-30	5	1st	5 15 17 24 38
2023-09-13	7	1st	5 9 13 36 39
2023-08-19	3	1st	5 23 30 36 41
2023-08-09	5	2nd	2 5 12 16 43
2023-07-22	9	1st	5 19 25 35 45
2023-06-21	1	1st	5 8 12 29 39
2023-06-17	18	1st	5 10 12 27 35
2023-04-15	5	2nd	4 5 18 23 35
2023-03-29	15	1st	5 8 13 31 36
2023-02-04	3	1st	5 6 8 26 30
2023-01-25	17	1st	5 32 37 40 45
2022-11-26	2	2nd	4 5 10 14 33
2022-11-19	2	1st	5 7 8 19 23
2022-11-12	23	2nd	4 5 6 8 42
2022-08-24	18	1st	5 6 21 25 44
2022-06-22	17	2nd	2 5 12 20 37
2022-04-23	11	1st	5 12 23 32 34
2022-03-16	2	1st	5 31 32 44 45
2022-03-09	11	1st	5 6 12 15 40
2022-01-29	13	1st	5 11 20 21 38
2021-12-15	7	1st	5 18 22 30 39
2021-11-20	13	1st	5 12 18 23 27
2021-10-06	13	1st	5 6 16 19 26
2021-08-21	11	2nd	1 5 13 19 25
2021-07-14	2	1st	5 8 16 17 35
2021-07-07	2	1st	5 15 25 30 39
2021-06-30	7	1st	5 9 13 38 44
2021-06-05	1	1st	5 12 21 31 37
2021-06-02	12	1st	5 6 12 40 44
2021-04-21	10	2nd	2 5 7 12 38
2021-03-17	33	1st	5 6 15 19 20
2020-11-21	3	2nd	4 5 26 35 37
2020-11-11	5	2nd	1 5 7 27 31
2020-10-24	2	1st	5 10 11 23 38
2020-10-17	6	1st	5 22 35 44 45
2020-09-26	9	2nd	2 5 6 21 45
2020-08-26	5	1st	5 30 39 43 45
2020-08-08	5	1st	5 17 22 33 36
2020-07-22	13	2nd	3 5 10 17 25
2020-06-06	11	1st	5 9 11 15 37
2020-04-29	11	1st	5 7 11 19 23
2020-03-21	11	1st	5 9 16 34 36
2020-02-12	2	1st	5 15 19 36 40
2020-02-05	6	1st	5 16 28 38 44
2020-01-15	18	1st	5 16 33 34 44
2019-11-13	1	1st	5 23 32 36 40
2019-11-09	24	2nd	1 5 8 9 43
2019-08-17	2	2nd	1 5 34 39 41
2019-08-10	4	1st	5 10 20 22 28
2019-07-27	4	1st	5 7 15 39 41
2019-07-13	12	2nd	4 5 17 22 40
2019-06-01	8	2nd	1 5 16 21 24
2019-05-04	10	1st	5 15 20 40 42
2019-03-30	2	1st	5 11 27 33 40
2019-03-23	22	2nd	3 5 8 15 26
2019-01-05	18	1st	5 22 31 35 45
2018-11-03	11	1st	5 9 19 30 39
2018-09-26	7	1st	5 14 23 30 37
2018-09-01	1	2nd	4 5 8 24 29
2018-08-29	10	2nd	3 5 12 27 31
2018-07-25	16	1st	5 8 12 13 24
2018-05-30	7	2nd	3 5 9 15 45
2018-05-05	3	2nd	2 5 14 22 42
2018-04-25	10	1st	5 14 26 34 38
2018-03-21	9	2nd	1 5 17 31 38
2018-02-17	9	2nd	2 5 18 27 44
2018-01-17	4	1st	5 23 29 34 41
2018-01-03	9	1st	5 8 14 16 32
2017-12-02	1	1st	5 18 21 22 29
2017-11-29	5	1st	5 18 27 33 40
2017-11-11	4	2nd	2 5 13 20 32
2017-10-28	7	2nd	2 5 14 21 41
2017-10-04	11	1st	5 13 26 33 36
2017-08-26	3	1st	5 22 26 31 36
2017-08-16	8	1st	5 9 13 29 44
2017-07-19	10	1st	5 24 28 36 38
2017-06-14	1	1st	5 11 12 25 39
2017-06-10	12	1st	5 13 32 34 41
2017-04-29	4	2nd	3 5 29 31 35
2017-04-15	3	1st	5 16 20 24 33
2017-04-05	9	3rd	1 3 5 23 31
2017-03-04	25	1st	5 9 22 37 43
2016-12-07	6	1st	5 8 14 38 42
2016-11-16	5	1st	5 16 23 33 40
2016-10-29	2	1st	5 32 34 38 40
2016-10-22	6	2nd	1 5 6 10 36
2016-10-01	1	2nd	4 5 10 27 28
2016-09-28	6	1st	5 9 19 23 36
2016-09-07	6	2nd	2 5 18 35 41
2016-08-17	6	1st	5 16 23 25 30
2016-07-27	2	1st	5 9 11 20 36
2016-07-20	24	1st	5 7 21 37 44
2016-04-27	10	2nd	4 5 7 24 45
2016-03-23	6	1st	5 12 28 35 39
2016-03-02	8	1st	5 11 24 29 34
2016-02-03	1	1st	5 8 11 32 43
2016-01-30	6	1st	5 23 24 34 35
2016-01-09	10	1st	5 8 27 29 36
2015-12-05	15	1st	5 6 13 41 42
2015-10-14	8	1st	5 20 24 36 38
2015-09-16	6	1st	5 16 21 31 39
2015-08-26	3	2nd	4 5 10 40 42
2015-08-15	21	2nd	1 5 24 30 44
2015-06-03	40	1st	5 11 15 37 45
2015-01-14	6	1st	5 13 25 26 43
2014-12-24	10	1st	5 21 24 29 39
2014-11-19	1	1st	5 16 31 39 44
2014-11-15	7	1st	5 16 19 22 45
2014-10-22	7	1st	5 25 26 30 34
2014-09-27	12	2nd	2 5 6 14 35
2014-08-16	1	1st	5 6 9 39 42
2014-08-13	5	1st	5 6 22 24 30
2014-07-26	8	2nd	2 5 21 28 32
2014-06-28	2	1st	5 14 19 22 35
2014-06-21	1	1st	5 10 21 37 45
2014-06-18	—	1st	5 7 21 22 37