Saturday, 28 May 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 20, 21) with the draw of 22 August 2015 — its closest relative in 213 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 111 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.