Number 11

In Montana Cash under the 5/45 · since May 2014 rules — 1,296 draws, 5 from 1–45.

129times drawn · chance expected 144 −1.33σ

47draws waiting · a wait this long: 0.4% for any number

9.5average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

37longest completed wait · 84% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 129 times in 1,296 draws against 144.0 expected, −1.33σ. Each draw is independent: after 47 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 129 times in 1,296 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 47 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest33 · chance 44.1
2nd smallest54 · chance 56.9
3rd smallest37 · chance 24.0
4th smallest5 · chance 3.9
5th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 13 7 8 10 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-04-29	18	1st	11 14 24 29 45
2026-02-25	14	2nd	2 11 33 37 44
2026-01-07	9	2nd	9 11 13 16 40
2025-12-06	27	1st	11 25 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-09-27	16	1st	11 15 26 31 32
2023-08-02	21	1st	11 14 18 34 43
2023-05-20	16	1st	11 17 18 44 45
2023-03-25	3	2nd	8 11 19 32 43
2023-03-15	6	1st	11 13 15 23 24
2023-02-22	11	3rd	7 8 11 20 36
2023-01-14	5	1st	11 12 27 36 41
2022-12-28	17	2nd	1 11 12 35 41
2022-10-29	31	2nd	10 11 13 23 25
2022-07-13	3	1st	11 15 34 35 41
2022-07-02	1	2nd	9 11 13 32 39
2022-06-29	4	3rd	1 6 11 18 19
2022-06-15	6	3rd	1 3 11 34 39
2022-05-25	15	2nd	8 11 30 39 44
2022-04-02	4	2nd	1 11 21 27 28
2022-03-19	14	1st	11 25 28 29 42
2022-01-29	31	2nd	5 11 20 21 38
2021-10-13	13	3rd	8 10 11 16 41
2021-08-28	5	3rd	6 9 11 29 32
2021-08-11	28	1st	11 14 15 36 38
2021-05-05	16	1st	11 28 36 39 42
2021-03-10	6	1st	11 13 16 23 35
2021-02-17	16	1st	11 22 25 31 44
2020-12-23	2	3rd	2 10 11 24 26
2020-12-16	4	2nd	9 11 22 25 35
2020-12-02	11	2nd	8 11 12 22 41
2020-10-24	12	3rd	5 10 11 23 38
2020-09-12	2	2nd	10 11 17 21 26
2020-09-05	1	3rd	3 4 11 44 45
2020-09-02	9	1st	11 20 21 23 35
2020-08-01	6	3rd	6 10 11 24 37
2020-07-11	9	1st	11 13 15 26 27
2020-06-10	1	2nd	6 11 27 35 43
2020-06-06	8	3rd	5 9 11 15 37
2020-05-09	3	2nd	7 11 21 28 31
2020-04-29	12	3rd	5 7 11 19 23
2020-03-18	7	4th	4 8 10 11 31
2020-02-22	6	3rd	2 9 11 32 35
2020-02-01	3	1st	11 13 31 34 36
2020-01-22	13	1st	11 13 17 22 24
2019-12-07	14	4th	3 8 10 11 30
2019-10-19	1	1st	11 15 39 40 44
2019-10-16	5	2nd	10 11 14 23 45
2019-09-28	1	3rd	3 8 11 17 24
2019-09-25	18	2nd	2 11 12 26 38
2019-07-24	9	2nd	7 11 14 21 40
2019-06-22	1	2nd	2 11 27 28 38
2019-06-19	10	2nd	8 11 12 20 40
2019-05-15	5	2nd	4 11 13 16 34
2019-04-27	8	2nd	10 11 16 25 42
2019-03-30	5	2nd	5 11 27 33 40
2019-03-13	1	2nd	3 11 19 32 41
2019-03-09	4	2nd	7 11 27 29 38
2019-02-23	37	2nd	6 11 33 36 41
2018-10-17	1	1st	11 20 23 25 37
2018-10-13	7	1st	11 24 36 37 38
2018-09-19	10	3rd	4 7 11 33 41
2018-08-15	7	3rd	2 4 11 18 37
2018-07-21	1	4th	3 7 8 11 15
2018-07-18	31	1st	11 16 23 37 45
2018-03-31	11	1st	11 20 24 36 45
2018-02-21	7	2nd	7 11 28 34 43
2018-01-27	9	1st	11 12 15 35 40
2017-12-27	2	2nd	7 11 24 38 45
2017-12-20	8	3rd	6 10 11 21 39
2017-11-22	16	1st	11 13 22 30 38
2017-09-27	15	3rd	7 9 11 14 38
2017-08-05	6	2nd	7 11 21 34 41
2017-07-15	4	2nd	8 11 23 30 36
2017-07-01	3	2nd	10 11 27 38 39
2017-06-21	2	2nd	1 11 16 21 40
2017-06-14	7	2nd	5 11 12 25 39
2017-05-20	5	1st	11 14 25 28 44
2017-05-03	4	2nd	9 11 20 35 44
2017-04-19	2	3rd	1 8 11 12 13
2017-04-12	1	2nd	1 11 13 28 44
2017-04-08	7	2nd	2 11 30 38 42
2017-03-15	15	3rd	3 7 11 24 39
2017-01-21	3	3rd	6 9 11 25 35
2017-01-11	7	1st	11 16 23 34 37
2016-12-17	8	2nd	1 11 26 30 33
2016-11-19	12	3rd	3 4 11 26 30
2016-10-08	6	2nd	2 11 12 32 43
2016-09-17	15	2nd	1 11 24 33 41
2016-07-27	7	3rd	5 9 11 20 36
2016-07-02	2	3rd	2 7 11 18 44
2016-06-25	9	3rd	1 6 11 19 40
2016-05-25	24	2nd	7 11 29 35 37
2016-03-02	8	2nd	5 11 24 29 34
2016-02-03	10	3rd	5 8 11 32 43
2015-12-30	10	3rd	4 10 11 17 19
2015-11-25	2	3rd	4 10 11 29 43
2015-11-18	4	3rd	6 7 11 14 43
2015-11-04	24	1st	11 24 25 30 35
2015-08-12	13	1st	11 21 28 44 45
2015-06-27	3	4th	1 6 7 11 42
2015-06-17	2	2nd	4 11 34 42 43
2015-06-10	2	2nd	9 11 19 38 45
2015-06-03	8	2nd	5 11 15 37 45
2015-05-06	14	3rd	3 6 11 25 27
2015-03-18	10	3rd	4 6 11 13 32
2015-02-11	19	1st	11 12 26 28 33
2014-12-06	9	2nd	6 11 21 26 34
2014-11-05	21	1st	11 17 23 36 45
2014-08-23	—	3rd	2 8 11 21 27