Number 14

In Montana Cash under the 5/45 · since May 2014 rules — 1,296 draws, 5 from 1–45.

146times drawn · chance expected 144 +0.18σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 55% for any number

8.8average wait between appearances · chance says 9.0

43longest completed wait · 64% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 146 times in 1,296 draws against 144.0 expected, +0.18σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 146 times in 1,296 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest44 · chance 33.8
2nd smallest56 · chance 62.8
3rd smallest33 · chance 39.0
4th smallest13 · chance 9.5
5th smallest0 · chance 0.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 9 25 28 45 26

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-19	12	2nd	9 14 26 28 35
2026-08-08	26	2nd	6 14 23 32 39
2026-05-09	3	1st	14 25 27 31 41
2026-04-29	26	2nd	11 14 24

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 5/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-07-20	22	2nd	7 14 33 43 44
2024-05-04	4	3rd	2 8 14 19 32
2024-04-20	1	2nd	4 14 20 28 44
2024-04-17	9	1st	14 24 28 38 40
2024-03-16	3	1st	14 22 33 44 45
2024-03-06	20	2nd	7 14 16 22 30
2023-12-27	2	2nd	9 14 18 24 41
2023-12-20	26	2nd	6 14 17 36 38
2023-09-20	6	1st	14 17 26 28 31
2023-08-30	8	2nd	6 14 28 30 42
2023-08-02	16	2nd	11 14 18 34 43
2023-06-07	11	3rd	9 10 14 32 34
2023-04-29	1	2nd	7 14 20 35 36
2023-04-26	1	4th	9 10 12 14 16
2023-04-22	29	2nd	7 14 16 29 31
2023-01-11	6	2nd	6 14 24 25 31
2022-12-21	7	3rd	9 13 14 23 28
2022-11-26	6	4th	4 5 10 14 33
2022-11-05	1	1st	14 26 30 40 41
2022-11-02	5	2nd	6 14 16 19 30
2022-10-15	6	3rd	3 13 14 24 35
2022-09-24	2	2nd	13 14 15 31 38
2022-09-17	9	1st	14 18 22 32 38
2022-08-17	5	1st	14 21 25 35 45
2022-07-30	14	1st	14 16 32 33 37
2022-06-11	12	1st	14 18 27 28 36
2022-04-30	43	3rd	1 8 14 27 42
2021-12-01	17	3rd	2 9 14 27 39
2021-10-02	6	2nd	7 14 19 20 41
2021-09-11	9	1st	14 19 25 28 33
2021-08-11	13	2nd	11 14 15 36 38
2021-06-26	2	2nd	9 14 25 26 31
2021-06-19	8	3rd	6 12 14 26 39
2021-05-22	7	3rd	1 8 14 23 25
2021-04-28	5	2nd	6 14 24 33 38
2021-04-10	1	1st	14 28 34 44 45
2021-04-07	22	1st	14 19 29 30 43
2021-01-20	11	4th	7 12 13 14 26
2020-12-12	12	2nd	1 14 17 23 31
2020-10-31	1	2nd	2 14 20 32 42
2020-10-28	35	1st	14 20 30 37 39
2020-06-27	4	4th	1 10 13 14 17
2020-06-13	28	2nd	12 14 27 30 42
2020-03-07	8	2nd	9 14 28 29 35
2020-02-08	6	3rd	4 10 14 24 41
2020-01-18	14	1st	14 25 34 35 43
2019-11-30	1	2nd	7 14 21 35 43
2019-11-27	12	2nd	7 14 19 20 40
2019-10-16	3	3rd	10 11 14 23 45
2019-10-05	17	1st	14 26 27 35 36
2019-08-07	4	3rd	3 7 14 21 45
2019-07-24	5	3rd	7 11 14 21 40
2019-07-06	14	1st	14 22 36 41 45
2019-05-18	9	4th	3 9 12 14 36
2019-04-17	4	1st	14 22 24 26 43
2019-04-03	9	1st	14 35 39 40 44
2019-03-02	8	1st	14 17 20 25 27
2019-02-02	16	2nd	9 14 28 31 38
2018-12-08	4	1st	14 17 22 30 43
2018-11-24	3	1st	14 15 25 27 45
2018-11-14	1	2nd	1 14 23 34 36
2018-11-10	4	1st	14 20 28 36 38
2018-10-27	9	2nd	12 14 15 25 28
2018-09-26	3	2nd	5 14 23 30 37
2018-09-15	2	3rd	6 13 14 16 30
2018-09-08	27	1st	14 15 23 28 35
2018-06-06	5	2nd	9 14 19 22 39
2018-05-19	4	1st	14 15 24 29 44
2018-05-05	3	3rd	2 5 14 22 42
2018-04-25	2	2nd	5 14 26 34 38
2018-04-18	9	1st	14 23 30 32 45
2018-03-17	2	3rd	6 8 14 31 34
2018-03-10	1	2nd	3 14 21 25 31
2018-03-07	6	2nd	9 14 25 37 43
2018-02-14	7	3rd	4 7 14 17 36
2018-01-20	2	1st	14 26 27 28 29
2018-01-13	3	1st	14 23 25 27 45
2018-01-03	1	3rd	5 8 14 16 32
2017-12-30	17	4th	6 7 8 14 19
2017-11-01	1	2nd	12 14 25 30 42
2017-10-28	3	3rd	2 5 14 21 41
2017-10-18	6	2nd	7 14 19 41 45
2017-09-27	6	4th	7 9 11 14 38
2017-09-06	13	2nd	3 14 26 34 41
2017-07-22	3	3rd	8 12 14 16 19
2017-07-12	10	1st	14 17 31 37 41
2017-06-07	4	2nd	2 14 25 28 38
2017-05-24	1	1st	14 22 27 33 36
2017-05-20	1	2nd	11 14 25 28 44
2017-05-17	19	3rd	1 12 14 24 29
2017-03-11	1	2nd	7 14 22 24 25
2017-03-08	22	2nd	4 14 17 19 26
2016-12-21	4	1st	14 22 37 43 45
2016-12-07	22	3rd	5 8 14 38 42
2016-09-21	7	2nd	3 14 17 25 45
2016-08-27	6	4th	7 8 10 14 28
2016-08-06	17	1st	14 16 26 27 37
2016-06-08	15	3rd	4 10 14 17 32
2016-04-16	4	2nd	10 14 15 35 36
2016-04-02	10	1st	14 20 27 34 35
2016-02-27	5	2nd	12 14 16 19 31
2016-02-10	7	2nd	7 14 15 28 43
2016-01-16	3	2nd	9 14 20 25 43
2016-01-06	14	1st	14 25 31 36 40
2015-11-18	9	4th	6 7 11 14 43
2015-10-17	2	1st	14 26 37 39 42
2015-10-10	19	3rd	7 9 14 24 33
2015-08-05	8	2nd	2 14 31 35 40
2015-07-08	1	2nd	4 14 18 22 27
2015-07-04	18	1st	14 15 16 20 29
2015-05-02	1	3rd	2 8 14 27 45
2015-04-29	18	2nd	4 14 29 30 45
2015-02-25	17	3rd	6 8 14 29 38
2014-12-27	26	1st	14 19 20 21 32
2014-09-27	5	4th	2 5 6 14 35
2014-09-10	16	2nd	6 14 27 35 37
2014-07-16	3	2nd	2 14 17 28 43
2014-07-05	1	3rd	6 8 14 25 44
2014-07-02	1	2nd	8 14 30 32 44
2014-06-28	1	2nd	5 14 19 22 35
2014-06-25	6	3rd	9 12 14 26 34
2014-06-04	—	1st	14 15 24 27 34