Number 29

In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 6 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

12times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.37σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 43% for any number

6.9average wait between appearances · chance says 6.5

31longest completed wait · 7% chance of one at least that long

29 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 86 draws against 13.2 expected, −0.37σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 29, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 86 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.1
3rd smallest0 · chance 1.1
4th smallest6 · chance 3.5
5th smallest4 · chance 4.9
6th smallest2 · chance 2.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 26 38 9 13 19

Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 38 numbers; chance expects about 8 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-07-13	11	4th	9 26 28 29 30 38
2016-07-02	2	5th	12 13 23 26 29 36
2016-06-30	4	4th	10 16 21 29 31 38

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 6/39 tonight whatever it did last week.