Number 26

In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 6 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

15times drawn · chance expected 13 +0.53σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 43% for any number

5.5average wait between appearances · chance says 6.5

18longest completed wait · 57% chance of one at least that long

26 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 86 draws against 13.2 expected, +0.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 26, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 86 draws · average wait 5.5 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 26 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.5
3rd smallest2 · chance 2.6
4th smallest6 · chance 5.4
5th smallest4 · chance 4.9
6th smallest2 · chance 1.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 19 6 29 2 4

Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 38 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 26 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 26 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-07-13	11	2nd	9 26 28 29 30 38
2016-07-02	9	4th	12 13 23 26 29 36
2016-06-23	3	4th	19 20 22 26 31 34

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 26 is drawn with probability 6/39 tonight whatever it did last week.