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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Daily Million Plus 2pm · every number
In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 6 from 1–39 (an earlier era).
Drawn 13 times in 86 draws against 13.2 expected, −0.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 86 draws · average wait 5.2 draws · longest completed wait 14 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 38 numbers; chance expects about 7 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 6/39 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2016-06-26 | 1 | 2nd | 6923293839 |
| 2016-06-25 | 5 | 1st | 91023283435 |
| 2016-06-20 | 2 | 1st | 91722262932 |
| 2016-06-18 | 11 | 2nd | 2921273439 |
| 2016-06-07 | 9 | 3rd | 239243539 |
| 2016-05-29 | 6 | 3rd | 149101327 |
| 2016-05-23 | 2 | 3rd | 789122734 |
| 2016-05-21 | 7 | 2nd | 3910141821 |
| 2016-05-14 | 2 | 2nd | 1912162133 |
| 2016-05-12 | — | 2nd | 8910171831 |