Number 22

In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 6 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

8times drawn · chance expected 13 −1.56σ

14draws waiting · a wait this long: 11% for any number

9.0average wait between appearances · chance says 6.5

26longest completed wait · 10% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 8 times in 86 draws against 13.2 expected, −1.56σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 8 times in 86 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 14 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.8
3rd smallest3 · chance 2.3
4th smallest3 · chance 2.9
5th smallest2 · chance 1.6
6th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

21 20 6 17 19 24

Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 38 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-07-05	7	4th	11 17 20 22 38 39
2016-06-28	5	4th	5 10 21 22 24 33
2016-06-23	3	3rd	19 20 22 26 31 34

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/39 tonight whatever it did last week.