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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Daily Million Plus 2pm · every number
In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 6 from 1–39 (an earlier era).
Drawn 14 times in 86 draws against 13.2 expected, +0.23σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 86 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 27 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 38 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 27 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 27 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 27 is drawn with probability 6/39 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2016-06-14 | 12 | 6th | 3412142427 |
| 2016-06-02 | 1 | 5th | 6824262737 |
| 2016-06-01 | 2 | 5th | 111517182736 |
| 2016-05-30 | 1 | 4th | 3514273032 |
| 2016-05-29 | 4 | 6th | 149101327 |
| 2016-05-25 | 2 | 3rd | 21727283537 |
| 2016-05-23 | 12 | 5th | 789122734 |
| 2016-05-11 | 8 | 4th | 182122273436 |
| 2016-05-03 | 3 | 6th | 4721222427 |
| 2016-04-30 | 3 | 4th | 4719272930 |
| 2016-04-27 | — | 5th | 61519262739 |