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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
Drawn 11 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −1.03σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 120 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 2 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 31 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 31 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 31 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 31 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 14 |
| 4th |
| 61630313244 |
| 2025-09-10 | 5 | 4th | 52126314647 |
| 2025-08-23 | 5 | 3rd | 202331353745 |
| 2025-08-06 | 7 | 4th | 52324314143 |
| 2025-07-12 | 35 | 4th | 92528314549 |
| 2025-03-12 | 7 | 5th | 21626293137 |
| 2025-02-15 | 6 | 3rd | 71731343843 |
| 2025-01-25 | — | 5th | 101724273142 |