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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
Drawn 14 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 120 draws · average wait 9.1 draws · longest completed wait 28 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2 |
| 1st |
| 202331353745 |
| 2025-08-16 | 5 | 2nd | 162021233242 |
| 2025-07-30 | 19 | 3rd | 7820232649 |
| 2025-05-24 | 11 | 3rd | 21520254249 |
| 2025-04-16 | 11 | 2nd | 122022414446 |
| 2025-03-08 | 28 | 5th | 41617182043 |
| 2024-11-30 | 2 | 4th | 7917202635 |
| 2024-11-23 | 2 | 3rd | 7820333543 |
| 2024-11-16 | 10 | 5th | 245142027 |
| 2024-10-12 | 3 | 3rd | 4920252939 |
| 2024-10-02 | — | 2nd | 122021304446 |