In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
16times drawn · chance expected 15 +0.36σ
7draws waiting · a wait this long: 46% for any number
7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
18longest completed wait · 82% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 16 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, +0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 16 times in 120 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.