Number 49

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

12times drawn · chance expected 15 −0.75σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 27% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

21longest completed wait · 57% chance of one at least that long

49 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 49, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 120 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 49 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest12 · chance 12.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 12 8 15 23 25

Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 49 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 49 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-10-11	21	6th	4 12 14 39 44 49
2025-07-30	5	6th	7 8 20 23 26 49
2025-07-12	3	6th	9 25 28 31 45 49

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 49 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.