Number 30

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

13times drawn · chance expected 15 −0.47σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number

9.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

27longest completed wait · 34% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 13 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.47σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 13 times in 120 draws · average wait 9.3 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.1
2nd smallest1 · chance 0.9
3rd smallest2 · chance 3.0
4th smallest7 · chance 4.7
5th smallest2 · chance 3.4
6th smallest1 · chance 0.9

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 29 46 38 44 15

Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 12 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-10-29	27	3rd	6 16 30 31 32 44
2025-07-26	10	4th	2 18 29 30 46 48
2025-06-21	18	4th	4 5 15 30 44 46

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.