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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
Drawn 15 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, +0.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 15 times in 120 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 15 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 24 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 24 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 24 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 24 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 8 |
| 3rd |
| 81224324146 |
| 2025-06-25 | 12 | 2nd | 212427323845 |
| 2025-05-14 | 2 | 5th | 2618212438 |
| 2025-05-07 | 18 | 3rd | 22324263643 |
| 2025-03-05 | 3 | 3rd | 21224263943 |
| 2025-02-22 | 1 | 2nd | 92428384344 |
| 2025-02-19 | 7 | 3rd | 11524264449 |
| 2025-01-25 | 22 | 3rd | 101724273142 |
| 2024-11-09 | 6 | 3rd | 111924254147 |
| 2024-10-19 | 3 | 2nd | 42427343839 |
| 2024-10-09 | 3 | 3rd | 101624343748 |
| 2024-09-28 | — | 5th | 101416222432 |