Number 22

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

12times drawn · chance expected 15 −0.75σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number

10.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

27longest completed wait · 31% chance of one at least that long

22 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.75σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 22, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 120 draws · average wait 10.5 draws · longest completed wait 27 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.6
2nd smallest2 · chance 2.6
3rd smallest7 · chance 4.3
4th smallest2 · chance 3.3
5th smallest0 · chance 1.1
6th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

36 10 14 16 27 41

Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-11-05	15	3rd	6 21 22 31 34 38
2025-09-13	27	2nd	9 22 27 28 36 43
2025-06-11	16	3rd	16 17 22 27 32 38

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.