Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).
Drawn 14 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −0.19σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 120 draws · average wait 8.6 draws · longest completed wait 22 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 18 |
| 1st |
| 81224324146 |
| 2025-05-21 | 3 | 3rd | 178353944 |
| 2025-05-10 | 2 | 2nd | 7814404447 |
| 2025-05-03 | 9 | 2nd | 1810192636 |
| 2025-04-02 | 5 | 1st | 81629384449 |
| 2025-03-15 | 10 | 1st | 81016343537 |
| 2025-02-08 | 13 | 2nd | 7810141926 |
| 2024-12-25 | 9 | 1st | 81032334349 |
| 2024-11-23 | 7 | 2nd | 7820333543 |
| 2024-10-30 | 2 | 2nd | 6828343843 |
| 2024-10-23 | — | 2nd | 1810113036 |