Number 11

In Ontario 49 under the 6/49 + 1/46 · Sep 2024 – Nov 2025 rules — 120 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

10times drawn · chance expected 15 −1.31σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number

11.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

23longest completed wait · 41% chance of one at least that long

11 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 10 times in 120 draws against 14.7 expected, −1.31σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 11, draw by draw

Drawn 10 times in 120 draws · average wait 11.3 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 2.9
2nd smallest2 · chance 4.3
3rd smallest3 · chance 2.2
4th smallest1 · chance 0.5
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

41 48 1 5 16 23

Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 17 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-10-15	5	2nd	5 11 16 40 41 48
2025-09-27	23	3rd	4 6 11 16 24 35
2025-07-09	7	3rd	1 7 11 41 43 46

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.