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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 13 October 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 15
  5. 26
  6. 40
  7. 30
  8. 32

JackpotA$4,123,956

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 198 of 930 under them

← 2012-10-06All recent draws2012-10-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 13 15 26 40 + 30 3229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap52th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

228times
1127times
1334times
1527times
26

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-13

  • Lines in play≈ 54Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.7Mto 482k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 112lines took a prize
  • 13 winnerschance said 6.6

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.1M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$3.9M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 13≈ 6.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
4028times

Every number was expected about that many times after 197 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 13, 26) with the draw of 3 December 2011 — its closest relative in 197 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 October 2012): 40 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,374,652
  • 31,466≈ 1.5k by chanceA$823
  • 465,962≈ 73k by chanceA$27.65
  • 2101A$5,535
  • 5151,734A$20.15
  • 6262,748A$15.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 65,962 winners, 10% fewer than the 73k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    13A$1,374,652
    2101A$5,535
    31,466A$823
    465,962A$27.65
    5151,734A$20.15
    6262,748A$15.00