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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 July 2018

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 16
  6. 24
  7. 18
  8. 33

JackpotA$4,016,999

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 499 of 930 under them

← 2018-07-14All recent draws2018-07-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 14 15 16 24 + 18 3329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

15oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd5th
  • low94th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

253times
460times
1456times
1566times
16

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 47Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.4Mto 451k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 105lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 5.8

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 521%A$3M
  • 627%A$3.9M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 5.8 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

74times
2468times

Every number was expected about that many times after 498 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 15, 16, 24) with the draw of 16 August 2014 — its closest relative in 498 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 15–16. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,004,250
  • 31,268≈ 1.4k by chanceA$929
  • 457,906≈ 64k by chanceA$30.75
  • 249A$11,141
  • 5131,398A$22.75
  • 6260,461A$14.80
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈47M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 57,906 winners, 10% fewer than the 64k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$1,004,250
    249A$11,141
    31,268A$929
    457,906A$30.75
    5131,398A$22.75
    6260,461A$14.80