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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 7 July 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 31
  5. 37
  6. 38
  7. 6
  8. 29

JackpotA$4,238,791

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 184 of 930 under them

← 2012-06-30All recent draws2012-07-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 21 31 37 38 + 6 2929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.

  • sum58th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

226times
1524times
2122times
3124times
37

Prize breakdown · 2012-07-07

  • Lines in play≈ 45Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.1Mto 511k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 87lines took a prize
  • 13 winnerschance said 5.5

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 13≈ 5.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
3831times

Every number was expected about that many times after 183 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 15, 21) with the draw of 21 April 2012 — its closest relative in 183 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2012): 37 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,412,930
  • 3949≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,308
  • 454,818≈ 61k by chanceA$34.25
  • 246A$12,501
  • 5140,226A$22.45
  • 6315,372A$12.85
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈45M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 949 winners, 26% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    13A$1,412,930
    246A$12,501
    3949A$1,308
    454,818A$34.25
    5140,226A$22.45
    6315,372A$12.85