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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 May 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 19
  5. 27
  6. 43
  7. 16
  8. 34

JackpotA$4,347,427

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 125 of 930 under them

← 2011-05-14All recent draws2011-05-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 13 15 19 27 43 + 16 3429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 54% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd94th
  • low77th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

814times
1325times
1517times
1917times
27

Prize breakdown · 2011-05-21

  • Lines in play≈ 62Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.5Mto 535k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 116lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 7.6

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.2M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 7.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

14times
4317times

Every number was expected about that many times after 124 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 27, 43) with the draw of 10 April 2010 — its closest relative in 124 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,173,714
  • 31,544≈ 1.8k by chanceA$825
  • 475,868≈ 84k by chanceA$25.40
  • 269A$8,553
  • 5165,254A$19.55
  • 6292,050A$14.25
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈62M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,544 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,173,714
    269A$8,553
    31,544A$825
    475,868A$25.40
    5165,254A$19.55
    6292,050A$14.25