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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 30 April 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 15
  4. 33
  5. 35
  6. 40
  7. 39
  8. 45

JackpotA$4,115,208

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 122 of 930 under them

← 2011-04-23All recent draws2011-05-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 15 33 35 40 + 39 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 April 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

121times
712times
1516times
3318times
35

Prize breakdown · 2011-04-30

  • Lines in play≈ 48Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.7Mto 462k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 103lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 5.9

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.1M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$3.9M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 5.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

11times
4019times

Every number was expected about that many times after 121 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (7, 35, 40) with the draw of 18 September 2010 — its closest relative in 121 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 April 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,028,802
  • 31,259≈ 1.4k by chanceA$957
  • 458,637≈ 65k by chanceA$31.05
  • 249A$11,392
  • 5138,745A$22.00
  • 6263,436A$14.95
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈48M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 58,637 winners, 10% fewer than the 65k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$1,028,802
    249A$11,392
    31,259A$957
    458,637A$31.05
    5138,745A$22.00
    6263,436A$14.95