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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 15 May 2021

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 20
  6. 41
  7. 4
  8. 21

JackpotA$10,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 646 of 931 under them

← 2021-05-08All recent draws2021-05-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 15 16 19 20 41 + 4 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd77th
  • low94th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each

591times
1584times
16101times
1980times
20

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 60Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$25.4Mto 1.3M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 46lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 7.4

Where the money went

  • 139%A$10M
  • 511%A$2.8M
  • 634%A$8.6M
  • 3 other tiers16%A$4M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 7.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

83times
4188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 645 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 16, 20, 41) with the draw of 2 July 2016 — its closest relative in 645 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 May 2021): 41 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 19–20. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 23% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,500,000
  • 31,378≈ 1.7k by chanceA$934
  • 474,124≈ 82k by chanceA$25.75
  • 294A$9,045
  • 5190,822A$14.75
  • 61,058,878A$8.10
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈60M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,378 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$2,500,000
    294A$9,045
    31,378A$934
    474,124A$25.75
    5190,822A$14.75
    61,058,878A$8.10