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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 November 2023

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 34
  6. 42
  7. 40
  8. 45

JackpotA$5,246,166

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 775 of 930 under them

← 2023-10-28All recent draws2023-11-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 14 15 34 42 + 40 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

1129times
5104times
1493times
15101times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 42Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$17.5Mto 939k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 44lines took a prize
  • 13 winnerschance said 5.1

Where the money went

  • 130%A$5.2M
  • 513%A$2.3M
  • 640%A$6.9M
  • 3 other tiers18%A$3.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 13≈ 5.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

106times
42114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 774 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 14, 15, 42) with the draw of 20 October 2018 — its closest relative in 774 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 66% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 October 2023): 14 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

111

The numbers add up to 111 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,748,722
  • 31,118≈ 1.2k by chanceA$879
  • 451,141≈ 57k by chanceA$28.45
  • 252A$12,483
  • 5125,294A$18.20
  • 6761,638A$9.10
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 51,141 winners, 10% fewer than the 57k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    13A$1,748,722
    252A$12,483
    31,118A$879
    451,141A$28.45
    5125,294A$18.20
    6761,638A$9.10