Number 17

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

137times drawn · chance expected 148 −0.95σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 86% for any number

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

31longest completed wait · 74% chance of one at least that long

17 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 137 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, −0.95σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 17, draw by draw

Drawn 137 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 17 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest5 · chance 9.0
2nd smallest36 · chance 38.6
3rd smallest58 · chance 54.2
4th smallest34 · chance 29.8
5th smallest4 · chance 5.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 16.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 23 2 9 24 1

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 17 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 17 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-10	6	3rd	3 7 17 24 27
2016-10-27	9	2nd	1 17 28 29 33
2016-10-06	14	3rd	2 15 17 21 33
2016-09-03	11	4th	6 7

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 17 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-10-22	6	3rd	1 9 17 32 33
2015-10-08	3	2nd	12 17 25 29 30
2015-10-01	3	3rd	9 12 17 23 24
2015-09-24	4	4th	5 7 12 17 18
2015-09-15	12	4th	2 4 12 17 22
2015-08-18	12	3rd	3 6 17 18 32
2015-07-21	2	1st	17 23 27 29 35
2015-07-16	6	3rd	1 10 17 23 29
2015-07-02	20	4th	4 6 15 17 34
2015-05-16	17	2nd	6 17 19 27 29
2015-04-07	4	2nd	9 17 19 26 32
2015-03-28	4	4th	7 8 12 17 34
2015-03-19	3	3rd	7 10 17 19 29
2015-03-12	5	3rd	4 6 17 30 33
2015-02-28	1	4th	1 10 16 17 21
2015-02-26	11	3rd	9 13 17 18 20
2015-01-31	4	4th	3 4 13 17 28
2015-01-22	17	4th	8 13 16 17 23
2014-12-13	1	2nd	10 17 23 26 29
2014-12-11	2	4th	9 10 13 17 20
2014-12-06	5	5th	9 11 14 16 17
2014-11-25	5	4th	1 4 9 17 22
2014-11-13	1	2nd	2 17 20 22 32
2014-11-11	11	1st	17 19 23 25 31
2014-10-16	3	2nd	9 17 18 21 25
2014-10-09	11	3rd	1 9 17 19 29
2014-09-13	15	2nd	14 17 24 25 26
2014-08-09	6	2nd	16 17 23 29 30
2014-07-26	2	3rd	5 15 17 21 24
2014-07-22	6	2nd	14 17 32 33 35
2014-07-08	4	5th	1 2 5 7 17
2014-06-28	10	4th	6 13 15 17 22
2014-06-05	1	3rd	5 9 17 24 28
2014-06-03	7	3rd	1 10 17 30 35
2014-05-17	4	2nd	4 17 29 31 35
2014-05-08	8	3rd	1 7 17 24 33
2014-04-19	1	2nd	16 17 20 24 25
2014-04-17	9	3rd	3 7 17 18 26
2014-03-27	1	4th	1 2 16 17 25
2014-03-25	4	4th	6 7 15 17 20
2014-03-15	31	5th	6 7 10 15 17
2014-01-02	17	3rd	2 7 17 22 23
2013-11-23	1	3rd	2 10 17 23 30
2013-11-21	7	3rd	3 13 17 28 35
2013-11-05	7	2nd	8 17 25 26 35
2013-10-19	8	3rd	11 12 17 24 27
2013-10-01	10	4th	3 8 16 17 30
2013-09-07	4	4th	2 12 14 17 31
2013-08-29	12	3rd	7 13 17 30 32
2013-08-01	1	4th	5 7 9 17 29
2013-07-30	5	3rd	5 6 17 31 35
2013-07-18	1	3rd	3 10 17 24 31
2013-07-16	2	4th	5 10 15 17 33
2013-07-11	10	2nd	16 17 24 28 33
2013-06-18	4	4th	2 5 6 17 21
2013-06-08	7	3rd	3 6 17 20 34
2013-05-23	3	4th	2 10 11 17 32
2013-05-16	11	2nd	9 17 21 24 25
2013-04-20	4	3rd	9 12 17 19 23
2013-04-11	4	4th	9 10 11 17 22
2013-04-02	15	4th	1 7 14 17 23
2013-02-26	7	1st	17 18 23 32 33
2013-02-09	4	3rd	2 9 17 33 35
2013-01-31	9	3rd	10 15 17 18 29
2013-01-10	8	3rd	1 3 17 31 35
2012-12-22	11	2nd	6 17 32 33 35
2012-11-27	2	2nd	16 17 23 26 28
2012-11-22	11	3rd	2 12 17 20 25
2012-10-27	2	2nd	2 17 18 32 33
2012-10-23	22	3rd	3 12 17 23 24
2012-09-01	6	3rd	11 14 17 27 35
2012-08-18	15	4th	7 11 16 17 31
2012-07-12	26	3rd	4 9 17 24 32
2012-05-12	9	3rd	10 11 17 23 34
2012-04-21	7	3rd	2 5 17 21 32
2012-04-05	3	3rd	3 5 17 25 33
2012-03-29	18	3rd	3 12 17 19 34
2012-02-16	2	2nd	13 17 20 24 25
2012-02-11	6	3rd	7 11 17 25 33
2012-01-28	8	4th	4 13 14 17 33
2012-01-10	2	2nd	6 17 26 31 34
2012-01-05	21	2nd	5 17 27 28 30
2011-11-17	5	3rd	8 11 17 20 30
2011-11-05	12	3rd	3 10 17 29 31
2011-10-08	1	4th	4 5 16 17 22
2011-10-06	14	3rd	14 15 17 28 32
2011-09-03	8	3rd	13 15 17 20 22
2011-08-16	20	3rd	4 9 17 28 30
2011-06-30	7	3rd	5 16 17 31 34
2011-06-14	7	4th	6 8 9 17 23
2011-05-28	9	3rd	4 16 17 18 23
2011-05-07	9	2nd	1 17 20 26 27
2011-04-16	8	2nd	5 17 20 26 34
2011-03-29	14	3rd	3 14 17 29 35
2011-02-24	1	2nd	1 17 19 21 31
2011-02-22	6	3rd	2 6 17 25 31
2011-02-08	5	1st	17 18 23 24 32
2011-01-27	4	2nd	5 17 19 27 30
2011-01-18	1	3rd	4 12 17 23 25
2011-01-15	6	5th	5 7 8 9 17
2011-01-01	2	2nd	6 17 27 30 35
2010-12-28	8	4th	1 6 15 17 29
2010-12-09	4	4th	4 15 16 17 24
2010-11-30	10	3rd	4 15 17 20 30
2010-11-06	1	3rd	2 3 17 28 30
2010-11-04	5	4th	1 13 15 17 31
2010-10-23	9	3rd	7 8 17 20 21
2010-10-02	8	3rd	1 14 17 24 35
2010-09-14	14	3rd	5 12 17 28 34
2010-08-12	4	3rd	7 13 17 19 22
2010-08-03	27	3rd	3 7 17 29 31
2010-06-01	21	1st	17 21 23 26 31
2010-04-13	—	2nd	10 17 18 25 33