Number 23

In Wild Money under the 5/35 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016 rules — 1,034 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

141times drawn · chance expected 148 −0.60σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

40longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 141 times in 1,034 draws against 147.7 expected, −0.60σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 141 times in 1,034 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 1.5
2nd smallest11 · chance 14.7
3rd smallest49 · chance 46.4
4th smallest58 · chance 56.2
5th smallest21 · chance 22.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 16.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

12 17 25 10 29 3

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-11-12	2	3rd	9 20 23 26 32
2016-11-08	2	4th	3 6 22 23 33
2016-11-03	19	4th	5 6 15 23 25
2016-09-20	11	3rd	13 15

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-10-01	1	4th	9 12 17 23 24
2015-09-29	5	4th	1 18 19 23 31
2015-09-17	4	4th	3 12 20 23 31
2015-09-08	20	3rd	3 6 23 25 34
2015-07-23	1	3rd	15 21 23 25 27
2015-07-21	2	2nd	17 23 27 29 35
2015-07-16	15	4th	1 10 17 23 29
2015-06-11	1	4th	3 10 18 23 25
2015-06-09	2	3rd	6 16 23 27 33
2015-06-04	4	5th	3 9 19 22 23
2015-05-26	19	3rd	5 10 23 29 31
2015-04-11	3	3rd	3 7 23 29 35
2015-04-04	17	5th	8 14 15 19 23
2015-02-24	3	3rd	1 2 23 29 34
2015-02-17	1	3rd	7 8 23 25 30
2015-02-14	8	3rd	12 16 23 25 26
2015-01-27	2	3rd	1 12 23 25 33
2015-01-22	6	5th	8 13 16 17 23
2015-01-08	11	3rd	2 10 23 25 29
2014-12-13	9	3rd	10 17 23 26 29
2014-11-22	5	4th	12 14 22 23 24
2014-11-11	40	3rd	17 19 23 25 31
2014-08-09	2	3rd	16 17 23 29 30
2014-08-05	10	4th	5 6 8 23 34
2014-07-12	8	2nd	19 23 24 25 33
2014-06-24	2	3rd	13 18 23 24 28
2014-06-19	4	2nd	22 23 24 25 32
2014-06-10	17	4th	2 8 20 23 35
2014-05-01	11	2nd	10 23 24 26 27
2014-04-05	6	1st	23 25 27 28 31
2014-03-22	7	5th	3 12 13 19 23
2014-03-06	1	4th	11 13 20 23 29
2014-03-04	5	5th	5 9 11 20 23
2014-02-20	4	3rd	6 10 23 32 33
2014-02-11	17	4th	10 13 22 23 26
2014-01-02	2	5th	2 7 17 22 23
2013-12-28	5	4th	7 12 14 23 34
2013-12-17	10	3rd	3 22 23 26 34
2013-11-23	9	4th	2 10 17 23 30
2013-11-02	2	2nd	16 23 29 34 35
2013-10-29	11	3rd	13 14 23 29 33
2013-10-03	8	4th	5 9 22 23 32
2013-09-14	9	3rd	5 12 23 32 33
2013-08-24	28	3rd	1 18 23 29 33
2013-06-20	2	3rd	9 12 23 29 30
2013-06-15	15	4th	5 8 9 23 26
2013-05-11	3	5th	2 6 12 20 23
2013-05-04	2	4th	5 18 20 23 28
2013-04-30	4	5th	4 10 13 19 23
2013-04-20	6	5th	9 12 17 19 23
2013-04-06	2	4th	1 6 12 23 29
2013-04-02	2	5th	1 7 14 17 23
2013-03-28	10	3rd	11 14 23 29 30
2013-03-05	1	4th	1 12 20 23 33
2013-03-02	2	3rd	3 4 23 27 32
2013-02-26	2	3rd	17 18 23 32 33
2013-02-21	4	2nd	10 23 24 27 28
2013-02-12	26	5th	10 14 18 19 23
2012-12-13	6	4th	9 13 21 23 32
2012-11-29	1	2nd	7 23 31 32 35
2012-11-27	9	3rd	16 17 23 26 28
2012-11-06	6	4th	4 5 9 23 28
2012-10-23	19	4th	3 12 17 23 24
2012-09-08	7	4th	11 13 22 23 30
2012-08-23	25	3rd	8 12 23 27 28
2012-06-23	1	4th	10 16 20 23 29
2012-06-21	4	3rd	15 22 23 25 29
2012-06-12	2	5th	1 3 5 10 23
2012-06-07	11	3rd	4 22 23 33 35
2012-05-12	15	4th	10 11 17 23 34
2012-04-07	16	3rd	11 14 23 24 31
2012-03-01	1	3rd	12 15 23 28 30
2012-02-28	6	5th	11 20 21 22 23
2012-02-14	2	2nd	10 23 25 29 30
2012-02-09	3	3rd	3 12 23 26 28
2012-02-02	20	4th	1 11 13 23 32
2011-12-17	8	3rd	8 20 23 28 32
2011-11-29	7	3rd	5 12 23 26 30
2011-11-12	9	2nd	7 23 26 30 35
2011-10-22	4	4th	14 16 20 23 26
2011-10-13	15	4th	8 9 19 23 27
2011-09-08	3	3rd	7 22 23 25 33
2011-09-01	8	2nd	5 23 24 32 33
2011-08-13	2	5th	1 3 6 15 23
2011-08-09	3	4th	15 19 22 23 31
2011-08-02	15	3rd	5 7 23 25 33
2011-06-28	1	3rd	2 15 23 25 28
2011-06-25	5	4th	3 13 16 23 31
2011-06-14	7	5th	6 8 9 17 23
2011-05-28	6	5th	4 16 17 18 23
2011-05-14	6	4th	7 18 20 23 25
2011-04-30	3	1st	23 25 26 27 35
2011-04-23	1	2nd	9 23 27 31 32
2011-04-21	5	4th	10 15 18 23 27
2011-04-09	7	4th	13 20 22 23 33
2011-03-24	8	4th	2 10 21 23 29
2011-03-05	1	4th	5 6 12 23 34
2011-03-03	9	4th	3 10 19 23 35
2011-02-10	1	4th	5 16 19 23 25
2011-02-08	9	3rd	17 18 23 24 32
2011-01-18	10	4th	4 12 17 23 25
2010-12-25	12	4th	7 8 14 23 33
2010-11-27	1	4th	4 13 22 23 26
2010-11-25	2	3rd	3 6 23 24 29
2010-11-20	26	5th	1 7 12 18 23
2010-09-21	2	3rd	19 20 23 25 34
2010-09-16	7	4th	1 6 15 23 35
2010-08-31	4	4th	3 6 18 23 29
2010-08-21	1	4th	8 14 16 23 32
2010-08-19	5	4th	6 7 12 23 26
2010-08-07	7	4th	2 3 21 23 30
2010-07-22	4	4th	2 12 16 23 28
2010-07-13	3	4th	4 5 19 23 28
2010-07-06	15	4th	12 20 21 23 27
2010-06-01	8	3rd	17 21 23 26 31
2010-05-13	14	4th	5 9 22 23 24
2010-04-10	—	3rd	2 22 23 31 32